After Republicans edged out Democrats in a number of special elections in 2017, Democrats consoled themselves by noting how close they’d run in normally Republican districts. Too bad, came the rejoinder from their opponents. Moral victory or not, narrow losses don’t get you political power. While not wrong, it’s the […] Read more »
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Buttigieg rises in Iowa and New Hampshire, Biden back atop delegate hunt
The Democratic nomination race remains unsettled because many voters are conflicted between what they want and whether they think can win. Some candidates who generate excitement are also seen as risky. Progressive policies are popular but might be too liberal to win swing voters. And while voters say they are […] Read more »
Pete Buttigieg surges to first place in Iowa, new poll shows
There is a new Democratic front-runner in Iowa, and his name is Pete Buttigieg. The mayor of South Bend, Indiana, holds a clear lead in the first-in-the-nation caucus state, climbing to 25% in a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers. That marks a 16-point increase in support […] Read more »
Why the Louisiana Governor’s Race Is So Close
The crucial cultural dividing line in Louisiana has always been north-south. Those who live in north Louisiana are mostly Protestant, speak with a familiar Southern twang and, in the modern era, voted heavily Republican. But rural South Louisiana is more Catholic, the accent is like nothing else (as anyone knows […] Read more »
Delusions of Grandeur?
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg is testing the 2020 waters. What are his chances of securing the Democratic nomination? Hear our analysis. And, Gallup released new numbers about voter enthusiasm heading into 2020. What it means (and doesn’t mean) for voter […] Read more »
An Inflection Point in the Democratic Race?
In observing the Democratic nomination contest over the last couple weeks, one wonders whether we’ve hit an inflection point. Has the trajectory of the race sharply changed, or is it just a pause, mere statistical noise, before it resumes its previous course? CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »