Partisans seem unlikely to change their minds on impeachment. Independents might.

… Are the open hearings being held by the House changing perceptions of impeachment? Is support for removing Trump from office growing? New polling suggests that the shifts so far have been modest. Importantly, it also suggests that most Americans are intractable on the subject and that the group most […] Read more »

Democrats Thinking Strategically About 2020 Nominee Choice

As candidates continue to join the field for the 2020 Democratic nomination, Democrats nationwide are steadfast in prioritizing electability next fall as a key trait they are looking for in a nominee. The largest segment are also hopeful the nominee will be politically moderate rather than liberal or conservative. CONT. […] Read more »

California: Biden, Warren Lead, Harris Way Behind

Six in 10 voters likely to cast a ballot in the California Democratic primary on March 3 support one of the moderate candidates for president – with former Vice President Joe Biden leading at 24% — compared to four in 10 voters who support a progressive — with Sen. Elizabeth […] Read more »

About Buttigieg … And That Iowa Poll

The latest Des Moines Register poll was released this weekend, and it shows South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg leading Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in Iowa. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew digs into this poll and discusses […] Read more »