Eight in ten voters likely to be participating in the state’s March Democratic presidential primary consider climate change and health care reform top priority issues for the next president to address. Another 54% rate immigration reform as a top priority issue, while 30% say this about reforming the nation’s criminal […] Read more »
2020 Democrats Face Their Stress Test
… There’s something of a spotlight paradox happening in the Democratic primary this year. The candidates who have spent time under the bright lights have wilted, while those sitting in its shadow have risen. Why is this? Democrats don’t suddenly dislike the candidates who have undergone the scrutiny that comes […] Read more »
Trump Is Pushing Protectionism. But Polls Show Americans Embracing Trade.
A big part of Donald J. Trump’s political identity has centered on his promises to shake up the United States’ role in the world and reject the free-trade agreements that he has called “a disaster” for American workers. … When Mr. Trump took office, polls showed that Americans were broadly […] Read more »
Don’t Bet Against Bloomberg
The more I think about Michael Bloomberg’s campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination, the more I wonder whether the political cognoscenti are underestimating his chances of winning. … While there are legitimate arguments to be made against Bloomberg, there are equally persuasive arguments against each of his rivals. If polling […] Read more »
Will Impeachment Affect the Democratic Presidential Race?
When the impeachment of Donald Trump became a likely event in September, it became fashionable to speculate how Trump’s re-election fortunes might be affected: would the process hurt Trump by generating damaging disclosures and negative publicity, or would he benefit from a popular backlash and highly-mobilized Republican base? I suggested […] Read more »
California: Sanders and Warren Now Share Primary Lead, Preferences Unusually Fluid
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, at 24%, and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, at 22%, are now the frontrunners in California’s March Democratic presidential primary. The latest Berkeley IGS Poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden dropping to third place, with 14% support, followed by South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg at […] Read more »