Texas voters didn’t like the way the impeachment process was handled, and they pass the blame around, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Only 39% liked the way President Donald Trump handled impeachment, and 38% approved of congressional Republicans’ work. Only 37% approved of the way Democrats […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders leaps to first among Texas Democrats in latest UT/TT Poll
U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has doubled his support among Democratic voters in Texas and now leads the race for that party’s presidential nomination in Texas, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Sanders had the support of 24% of the self-identified Democratic primary voters in the poll, up […] Read more »
Biden Needs Black Voters to Lift His Campaign. But He Has Competition.
… The ability to mobilize black support in South Carolina, which holds its primary on Feb. 29, and across the South has long been the foundation of Mr. Biden’s candidacy — a presumed advantage that would highlight his capacity to forge a diverse coalition to take down President Trump. Yet […] Read more »
Trump Is Waiting and He Is Ready
There are three crucial developments working in Donald Trump’s favor in the 2020 presidential campaign. These include what a group of Harvard economists — Alberto Alesina, Stefanie Stantcheva and Armando Miano — describe in a recent paper as “The Polarization of Reality.” They write: Evidence is growing that Americans are […] Read more »
A Contested Convention Becomes More Likely
This week, we deep-dive into the results from the New Hampshire primary. Then, as the campaigns go west, we get Harry’s Forecast for Nevada. Plus, we discuss Mike Bloomberg’s rise in recent polls, along with the renewed scrutiny from his time as New York City mayor. The Forecast Fest Read more »
For Sanders, New Hampshire was a Glass Both Half-Full and Half-Empty
In the wake of his victory in the New Hampshire primary, Bernie Sanders seemed to some like an unstoppable frontrunner. To others, he seemed like a spent force. That there is evidence backing up both arguments is a testament to the uncertainty of the Democratic race following the first-in-the-nation primary. […] Read more »