… Lifted by a hasty unity among center-left Democrats disinclined toward political revolution, Mr. Biden has propelled himself in the span of three days from electoral failure to would-be juggernaut. He has demonstrated durable strength with African-Americans and emerged as the if-everyone-says-so vessel for tactical voters who think little of […] Read more »
Biden’s Super Tuesday Test: Defending the South
Key Points • Joe Biden’s victory in South Carolina re-established him as the main challenger to Bernie Sanders. • There is some indication their battle could break on regional lines, with Sanders fighting for inroads in the South and Biden for access to the North. Biden’s task on Tuesday is […] Read more »
This Super Tuesday is impossible to predict
“Trust the polls” is the soothing mantra of the data nerd. While polls are snapshots of public opinion at a specific time, and they are fallible, in most circumstances, they represent the best picture of what America is thinking and are the most powerful predictor of eventual election results. But […] Read more »
Some Questions Already Seem Answered About Super Tuesday
It’s hard to remember an Election Day with so much uncertainty as voters go to the polls. And yet Joe Biden’s blowout win in South Carolina on Saturday — and subsequent steps toward consolidating the Democratic Party’s moderate wing — may have already answered many of the biggest questions about […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders’ hidden Super Tuesday edge
Bernie Sanders could receive a big boost today from a powerful demographic dynamic, even as more party leaders consolidate to resist his candidacy. The groups that have most favored the senator from Vermont in the Democratic presidential race are much more widely distributed than the groups that have resisted him […] Read more »
Trump and Sanders lead competing populist movements, reshaping American politics
… Four years after Trump seized control of the Republican Party with a right-wing populist movement, a new populist crusade has risen on the left, fueled similarly by grievance and anxiety and powered by Sanders’s remarkable drive to dispatch Trump from the White House. Each is powered by a disdain […] Read more »