Americans’ engagement with the 2020 presidential election remains relatively high, as 59% of U.S. adults, similar to the 63% recorded in January, say they feel more enthusiastic than usual about voting in this year’s election. … Enthusiasm for voting in 2020 is fairly high among Democrats and Republicans, although Republicans […] Read more »
Why Biden Is Now A Big Favorite
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast’s “Model Talk,” Nate Silver explains why the Democratic primary forecast shifted significantly in Biden’s favor this week. He also discusses changes he’s made to the model and why a comeback will be so challenging for the Sanders campaign. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Super Tuesday and Beyond
Joe Biden, the one-time frontrunner turned underdog is now the frontrunner again. While Bernie Sanders, the one-time underdog turned frontrunner, is once again in the fight for his political survival. CONT. Politics with Amy Walter Read more »
Poll Hub: This is Getting Intense
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we’re digging deep into the data with The Marist Poll’s Director of Data Management and Technology, Stephanie Calvano. What can we learn from Super Tuesday exit polls? What does that information mean for the next round of Democratic primary states, and why do […] Read more »
Why Warren Supporters Aren’t a Lock to Get Behind Sanders
Throughout the 2020 presidential race, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders have seemed like reluctant foes. … But Ms. Warren’s pool of voters, who are casting for an alternative after she dropped out of the Democratic race on Thursday, generally doesn’t look like Mr. Sanders’s base. There is reason to […] Read more »
After Super Tuesday, Joe Biden Is A Clear Favorite To Win The Nomination
After a huge night on Super Tuesday — and with all his major opponents except Sen. Bernie Sanders having dropped out — former Vice President Joe Biden is a strong favorite to win the Democratic nomination, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. CONT. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Read more »