Joe Biden consolidated his gains as he races to the Democratic nomination, dominated in a trio of primaries last Tuesday among voters male and female, rich and poor, white and non-white, college and high school graduates. But there was one glaring exception: Young voters. Voters under 45 continued to support […] Read more »
How It All Came Apart for Bernie Sanders
In mid-January, a few weeks before the Iowa caucuses, Senator Bernie Sanders’s pollster offered a stark prognosis for the campaign: Mr. Sanders was on track to finish strong in the first three nominating states, but Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s powerful support from older African-Americans could make him a resilient foe […] Read more »
Pandemic and Stock Market Losses Haven’t Dented Trump’s Numbers … Yet
The thoughts and concerns of most people these days are focused on their families, friends, neighbors, and colleagues. Zooming out, they’re also concerned about the impact the coronavirus pandemic will have on the economy, their job, and their place of businesses. But for those in the political business—or addicted to […] Read more »
Red and Blue America Aren’t Experiencing the Same Pandemic
Even a disease as far-reaching as the coronavirus hasn’t entirely crossed the chasm between red and blue America. In several key respects, the outbreak’s early stages are unfolding very differently in Republican- and Democratic-leaning parts of the country. That disconnect is already shaping, even distorting, the nation’s response to this […] Read more »
The Final Forecast Fest
In the final episode of The Forecast Fest, we discuss how the coronavirus took over the Democratic primary. Then, we explain Biden’s inevitable path to the nomination. The Forecast Fest Read more »
How Democrats Should Navigate Pandemic Politics
It may seem callous to think about politics in the midst of a pandemic that has millions of Americans secluded at home and wondering if they’ll see their next paychecks. But President Trump’s fumbling and flawed response to coronavirus is a reminder that elections have consequences that can be devastating […] Read more »