The staggering American death toll from the coronavirus, now approaching 100,000, has touched every part of the country, but the losses have been especially acute along its coasts, in its major cities, across the industrial Midwest, and in New York City. The devastation, in other words, has been disproportionately felt […] Read more »
The VP effect
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not he thinks Joe Biden needs to pick a running mate from a swing state. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Georgia is a swing state in 2020
Democrats have Georgia on their minds. When former Vice President Joe Biden’s team presented their electoral strategy in mid-May, Georgia was one of three states, along with Arizona and Texas, that they believed they could compete in, even though those places haven’t voted for a Democratic presidential nominee in at […] Read more »
How the Trump Effect Could Lift Democratic Senate Candidates
A driving theme of Republican Party politics circa 2020 is consolidation. The G.O.P. has tightened its ranks; its reliable voters, hovering at around 40 percent of the electorate, tend to approve of almost anything President Trump does. Yet throughout his term, from the 2017 battles over health care and tax […] Read more »
Under Trump, Democrats and Republicans have never been more divided — on nearly everything
Americans’ political behavior and beliefs have grown ever more partisan over the past 40 years. Democrats and Republicans alike have become more likely to support their own party’s candidates, to adopt their own party’s issue positions, and even to distort their perceptions of objective facts to fit their own party’s […] Read more »
Majority Continue to Call Trump’s Response a Failure
This release features findings from a national online survey of 1,011 registered voters conducted May 15-May 18, 2020. • Barack Obama is significantly more popular than Donald Trump, and the public places far more blame on the Trump administration for America’s failure to prepare for coronavirus than on the Obama […] Read more »