More Americans believe the Democratic Party (47%) than the Republican Party (39%) would do a better job of handling whatever issue they consider to be the most important problem facing the U.S. Americans’ preferences on this question in presidential election years have generally corresponded with the party that ultimately won […] Read more »
Fight over Ginsburg succession poses stark question: Can majority rule survive in US?
A Republican vote to replace the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg before the next presidential inauguration could deepen the pressure on majority rule that is already threatening to engulf all elements of America’s political system. If the Republican-led Senate confirms a nominee from President Donald Trump before January, […] Read more »
Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer
While Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death will go down as yet another historic event in 2020, it’s unlikely to change the fundamental trajectory of the elections. In the middle of huge breaking news stories, it can be hard to remember that the country is incredibly polarized and the […] Read more »
Why Supreme Court politics in 2020 look way different from 2016 or 2018
… President Donald Trump was likely helped in the 2016 election by the fight over a Supreme Court nomination. Similarly, Republicans were likely aided in the 2018 Senate battle by the nomination and eventual confirmation of Justice Brett Kavanaugh. We don’t know what the ultimate effect of any Supreme Court […] Read more »
Republicans are usually more fired up over SCOTUS. Now, polls say Democrats are.
For decades, Republicans have galvanized voters around reshaping the Supreme Court and benefited from it at the ballot box. But in a stark reversal, polls indicate it is Democrats who have the edge in 2020. National and battleground state surveys taken before the death Friday of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg […] Read more »
The Senate’s Rural Skew Makes It Very Hard For Democrats To Win The Supreme Court
I don’t have a particularly strong take on how the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg will affect either the presidential election or the race for control of the U.S. Senate. And I’d encourage you to avoid putting too much stock in anybody else’s take for now, too. The very earliest […] Read more »