… Whether Biden proves more effective than other recent Democrats at attracting older voters around Social Security and Medicare will likely pivot on whether seniors believe the GOP genuinely would cut the programs if given the power to do so, argued Robert Blendon, a professor emeritus at the Harvard School […] Read more »
Primary voters aren’t excited about Biden or Trump. What does that mean for 2024?
The first phase of the 2024 presidential primary season is officially underway, bringing with it a cavalcade of early polling designed to answer a seemingly basic question: whether President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump, have the support of their respective parties. That topic, though, is more complicated than […] Read more »
Both White and Nonwhite Democrats are Moving Left
Key Points• One of the big stories of American politics over the past half-century has been a growing ideological divide between Democrats and Republicans.• This has also led to more ideological cohesion within parties, including a dramatic increase among Democrats between 2012 and 2020. Democrats are now as ideologically cohesive […] Read more »
The future for the Republican and Democratic parties
Republicans and Democrats alike are expressing concerns about the direction of the parties. Democrats are more optimistic than pessimistic about the future of their party (44% vs 26%), while Republicans are about equally optimistic (38%) and pessimistic (36%) about where their party is headed. Few people, regardless of party identification, […] Read more »
The State of Biden’s Next Campaign
Key Points• President Biden’s successful State of the Union address suggested he’s full speed ahead on running for a second term.• Despite polls showing that even many Democrats would prefer Biden not to run again, he has no real opposition within his own party — and the State of the […] Read more »
Feisty Joe Biden Is Back
It was a raucous, interactive, and argumentative State of the Union like no other. And when it was over, President Joe Biden had provided a clear signal of how he plans to contest the 2024 presidential election. Leaning hard into his populist “Scranton Joe” persona, an energetic and feisty Biden […] Read more »