Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up

Key Points• The overall battle for House control in 2024 starts as a Toss-up.• Relatively similar numbers of Democratic and Republican seats start in the most competitive Toss-up and Leans categories, although Republicans start with a few more targets in large part because of the likelihood that they will benefit […] Read more »

A Strategy for Factory Towns

… This report is part of a continuing effort by American Family Voices to do on-the-ground research and data analysis to understand the thinking and motivation of working-class voters, and to recommend strategies that can begin to rebuild the Democratic Party’s and progressive movement’s historic connection to America’s working class. […] Read more »

Notes on the State of Politics: Wisconsin’s key state Supreme Court race; U.S. House back to full strength, but not for long

Key Points• In Virginia, Democrats have held the Richmond-area 4th District with state Sen. Jennifer McClellan. Her nearly 50-point win represented a notable overperformance.• The most important judicial race of this year will be in the closely-divided state of Wisconsin, where control of the state Supreme Court is on the […] Read more »

The Forces Tearing Us Apart Are Not Quite What They Seem

A toxic combination of racial resentment and the sharp regional disparity in economic growth between urban and rural America is driving the class upheaval in American partisanship, with the Republican Party dominant in working-class House districts and the Democratic Party winning a decisive majority of upscale House seats. Studies from […] Read more »

Biden’s standing improves, while Trump slumps with Republican voters

President Biden is seeing his highest approval ratings in almost a year, while former President Donald Trump, who is hoping to take the job back, is getting his worst scores among potential Republican voters in years, according to the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. The survey — conducted last week, after […] Read more »

Biden and Trump face headwinds going into 2024, poll shows

The 2024 presidential election campaign season remains several months away, and while much can change, the latest PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll shows both Democrats and Republicans are already sizing up potential candidates. Both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have maintained large shares of support among their respective bases. […] Read more »