Nate Silver discusses the importance of Michigan in the 2020 Democratic primary. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Sanders faces a challenging 30 days in his quest to defeat Biden
Joe Biden’s stunning turnaround in the past week has put pressure on Bernie Sanders to blunt or reverse the former vice president’s momentum. It won’t take long to determine whether the senator is up to the challenge. After the events of the past week, the one-on-one competition between Biden and […] Read more »
Why Biden Is Now A Big Favorite
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast’s “Model Talk,” Nate Silver explains why the Democratic primary forecast shifted significantly in Biden’s favor this week. He also discusses changes he’s made to the model and why a comeback will be so challenging for the Sanders campaign. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
After Super Tuesday, Joe Biden Is A Clear Favorite To Win The Nomination
After a huge night on Super Tuesday — and with all his major opponents except Sen. Bernie Sanders having dropped out — former Vice President Joe Biden is a strong favorite to win the Democratic nomination, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. CONT. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Biden has a secret weapon: Time is on his side
Time is a funny thing in presidential primaries: Depending on the circumstances, they can be over in a day or stretch on for months, while some weeks count more for others. That’s especially true in what has become a swiftly evolving matchup between former vice president Joe Biden and Sen. […] Read more »
Why Biden’s chance of beating Sanders is even bigger than it seems
… According to the latest NBC News projection, Biden leads Sanders by 513 to 461 in pledged delegates, with 105 for other candidates (1,991 are required to win the nomination). There are still millions of votes to count in California in the coming days, giving Sanders room to grow. But […] Read more »