… It’s fair to say that Rubio’s path to the 1,237 delegates required to clinch the Republican presidential nomination by June is probably shot. And although he has bigger problems ahead of him — namely finding a way to win his home state, Florida, on March 15 — nothing has […] Read more »
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
… Does Trump have a mandate from Republican voters? I know: The whole “mandate” thing is fuzzy. But this definition comes pretty close to my meaning: “that the electorate broadly supports your plans and has told you so with an electoral victory.” Are Republican voters, at enormous consequence, really ready […] Read more »
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
If it’s not obvious by now, a ship called the Republican Party is perilously close to being hijacked by a populist pirate named Donald Trump. At the last three ports of call — New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada — Trump overpowered his rivals, even capturing all 50 of the […] Read more »
Delegate Count Leaving Bernie Sanders With Steep Climb
Senator Bernie Sanders vowed on Sunday to fight on after losing the Nevada caucuses, predicting that he would pull off a historic political upset by this summer’s party convention. But the often overlooked delegate count in the Democratic primary shows Mr. Sanders slipping significantly behind Hillary Clinton in the race […] Read more »
Superdelegates help Clinton expand her lead despite NH loss
… After the contests in Iowa and New Hampshire, Sanders has a small 36-32 lead among delegates won in primaries and caucuses. But when superdelegates are included, Clinton leads 481-55, according to the AP count. It’s essentially a parallel election that underscores Clinton’s lopsided support from the Democratic establishment. CONT. […] Read more »
Mainstream G.O.P. Field of Three Faces Brutal Delegate Math
If the Republican Party remains divided for much longer, it will start getting more difficult for a mainstream candidate to win the nomination. Yet Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush and John Kasich all have incentives to stay in the race, preventing the party from getting behind one candidate. On Super Tuesday, […] Read more »