The Democratic National Committee will recommend scrapping state plans to offer virtual, telephone-based caucuses in 2020 due to security concerns, sources tell The Associated Press. The final choice whether to allow virtual caucuses in Iowa and Nevada is up to the party’s powerful Rules and Bylaws Committee. But opposition from […] Read more »
Democratic candidates connect early with super delegates amid fear of convention chaos
For more than three decades, Democrats have headed into each of their national conventions knowing exactly whom they will nominate for president, making the events little more than made-for-TV pep rallies. But in the bar and hallways of a meeting here last week of the Democratic National Committee, some party […] Read more »
How proposed Democratic caucus rules make polling even harder, and how we crafted our best shot
The Iowa caucuses are arguably the most difficult assignment for any pollster. That is because relatively few people attend them, and people can, and do, change their minds in the caucus room. … Next year, a lot will change. The Iowa Democratic Party is finalizing rules that will add a […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Can Win, But He Isn’t Polling Like A Favorite
If there’s one thing the Democratic establishment is good at, it’s panicking. And the latest reason for panic among Democratic insiders is Bernie Sanders. According to a New York Times article from earlier this month, the prospect of a Sanders nomination is “spooking establishment-aligned Democrats, some of whom are worried […] Read more »
It’s Bernie’s World (And 2020 Democrats Are All Living in It)
Early polling shows Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden as the frontrunners for the 2020 Democratic nomination. But, early polling has been a unreliable predictor of future success. (If you haven’t already, you should follow the Washington Post’s polling twitter account [@LedPast] … where you will see […] Read more »
The Democratic Nomination: It Doesn’t Have to be a Long Slog
Key Points • The size of the Democratic field, combined with the party’s proportional allocation of delegates and other factors, raises the possibility of a very long nomination process that may not be decided until the convention. • However, the voting calendar is so frontloaded that a nominee may emerge […] Read more »