Four things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won’t

If there’s anything that’s defined the 2020 presidential race so far it’s stability. No matter what issues and events the world throws at it — and it’s thrown plenty — the polls barely budge. Yes, the overall polling averages have narrowed slightly during September, but Biden continues to have an […] Read more »

After a tumultuous month of news, Biden maintains national lead over Trump

After a month of political conventions, fresh controversies, more protests and additional deaths from the coronavirus, the 2020 presidential race remains where it’s been for months — with Joe Biden leading President Trump nationally by nearly double digits, and with a majority of voters opposing the president. Those are the […] Read more »

Poll-pourri: An analysis of the slew of post-convention polls

On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the week welcomed a flood of post-convention polls. We dissect the findings and the various methodologies used. Plus, now that we have the numbers, we share our final word on the issue of a post-convention bounce. Then, we’re moving onto the presidential debates. […] Read more »

The Democratic debate: Biden’s VP pledge shows that women will be key in 2020

… A funny thing has happened while the country has been focused on Donald Trump’s presidential reality show. Beginning with the march on Washington the day after the 2017 Inauguration and picking up steam with each passing day, women’s opposition to Trump has steadily grown. Trump’s approval ratings (never robust) […] Read more »

The Problems Inherent in Political Polling

… When modern polling began, in the nineteen-thirties, George Gallup claimed that it rekindled the tradition of the town meeting, but most members of Congress considered it to be, as one wrote, “in contradiction to representative government.” In 1949, the political scientist Lindsay Rogers complained that “pollsters have dismissed as […] Read more »