Putting post-debate ‘flash polls’ into perspective

Prize fights and Olympic contests have judges, but debates between candidates for public office in the U.S. are ultimately judged by the voters. In the aftermath of presidential debates, there is intense interest in gauging “who won.” How can we know the answer to that question? CONT. Scott Keeter, Pew Read more »

Will This Deja Vu Be Different?

Over the last year we’ve witnessed a familiar pattern: Trump does or says something controversial/contentious/reprehensible (think: attacks on Judge Curiel and the Khan family), his poll numbers plummet and talk ensues about a Hillary Clinton “landslide” and a down ballot wipe out. … Then, like clockwork, the race stabilizes. … […] Read more »

A presidential candidate can’t threaten to imprison his opponent if he wants to live in a democracy

… Democracy is a process. Elections are held; winners take office; and policies are implemented. Crucially, it is expected that the “losers” from this process — those whose policies are not implemented — will not turn to extra-systemic (read: violent revolutionary) means to overturn those policies. Why? Because they can […] Read more »