Hillary Clinton is currently the best known and best liked of 16 potential 2016 presidential candidates tested in a July 7-10 Gallup poll, due to her 91% familiarity score and +19 net favorable rating. The net favorable is based on her 55% favorable and 36% unfavorable ratings. CONT. Jeffrey M. […] Read more »
Three-Way Governor’s Race Could Get Messy For Cuomo
Major elections in the United States are almost always two-party affairs. Yes, third-party candidates run, but they’re rarely competitive, and they almost never win. Still, there are exceptions, and the 2014 New York governor’s race may be one of them. … As I detailed earlier this week, early gubernatorial polling […] Read more »
Gov. Cuomo’s Approval Sags, But He Maintains Large Re-Election Lead
Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s job approval rating has slipped, but he remains popular and enjoys a comfortable advantage in his quest for re-election, according to a new poll. Cuomo, a Democrat, holds massive leads over each of three potential Republican challengers: Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, conservative upstate businessman Carl Paladino […] Read more »
Wide-Open Race in 2016 Offers Ocean of Possibilities
It’s hard to remember interest in a presidential election beginning to build so early. Wide-open presidential contests—that is, those without an incumbent seeking reelection—aren’t that infrequent; they’ve occurred a total of six times in the post-World War II period, four of those in the past 50 years. However, all the […] Read more »
16 For ’16, Part 1: Democrats Again Hunger for History
Democrats made history in 2008. We suspect they will want to do so again in 2016, which is just another reason why Hillary Clinton is such an obvious front-runner for her party’s presidential nomination, as long as she wants it. After electing the first black president, there is going to […] Read more »
How does a Democratic presidential run in 2016 look for Andrew Cuomo?
… There’s no indication at this stage that he would run, but there’s already been some wrangling from the left that [New York governor Andrew] Cuomo isn’t liberal enough for a Democratic primary. My own instinct as a citizen of New York has been to agree, but let’s look at […] Read more »