For the past week, the media frenzy over President Trump’s Twitter attacks on four Democratic congresswomen of color has centered on the question of whether GOP leaders will rebuke the president’s divisiveness and open hostility to minorities and immigrants. Sticking with Trump, the theory goes, will further cleave the GOP […] Read more »
The Detroit debate: Is there any candidate who doesn’t have something at risk?
The second Democratic presidential debate will take place in just more than a week, this time in Detroit. After what transpired in Miami, almost every candidate has something to prove. CNN, which will host the two nights of debate, found a smart system to assure relative balance between upper- and […] Read more »
Biden, Sanders Still Have Best Images Among Democrats
In a Gallup poll conducted shortly after the first round of Democratic debates, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden continue to enjoy the highest favorability ratings of all major Democratic contenders among the party’s base. Both are viewed favorably by roughly seven in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. CONT. Lydia Saad, […] Read more »
Lanes Are Starting To Emerge In The 2020 Democratic Primary
In the wake of June’s Democratic presidential debate, most polling agrees that former Vice President Joe Biden is still the front-runner (although the size of his lead has taken a hit), followed by a rough three-way tie among Sens. Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. But as we already […] Read more »
What We’ve Gleaned About The Democratic Primary From 6 Months Of Polls
Earlier this year, we published a three-part series on how well primary polls conducted in the calendar year before a presidential election predict the outcome. Our analysis, which covered more than 40 years of primaries, found that early polls are somewhat predictive of who eventually wins the nomination, especially when […] Read more »
Data shows Twitter primary differs from the ‘real world’
As voters and activists try to make sense of the enormous Democratic primary field, Twitter, where real-time “analysis” flows 24-7, has emerged as a go-to news portal. But the narrative that is emerging there may be missing the larger story of the 2020 campaign, at least up to now. CONT. […] Read more »