Fake Polls and Tabloid Coverage on Demand: The Dark Side of Sebastian Kurz

It seemed like a miracle. For years, Austria’s conservative party had languished far behind its rivals. Then in May 2017, the polls spectacularly reversed, giving the conservatives newfound credibility that helped them convince voters that they had a real chance of winning. Five months later, in elections, they did. … […] Read more »

American democracy at the start of the Biden presidency

U.S. democracy passed a milestone on January 20, 2021 with the inauguration of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. Donald Trump’s presidency presented unprecedented challenges to this country’s democratic norms and practices. His role in a violent insurrection, sparking a second impeachment has fueled further debate over how to preserve American […] Read more »

A roadmap for the new Congress: From dysfunction to meaningful change

As Joe Biden assumes the presidency, there is an urgency to responding to the crises Chief of Staff Ron Klain put in a memo to the senior White House staff and the president emphasized in his inaugural address: the pandemic crisis, the resulting economic crisis, the climate crisis, the ongoing […] Read more »

The ‘urban myth’ behind the GOP claims of voter fraud

The Supreme Court’s rejection last week of the lawsuit from Texas and 18 other Republican-led states effectively ended the legal efforts by President Donald Trump and his allies to overturn his election defeat. But the case likely marks the start of a new round of Republican efforts to challenge the […] Read more »

2020 Post Election Poll Analysis of an Election Like No Other

As we have done, every two years in federal elections, since 1994, we once again conducted a post-election poll of 1,000 actual voters online who either voted early or on election day. The survey had an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The voters were interviewed on […] Read more »