Clues for a Wave? A Look at the Generic Ballots of 2006 & 2010

Given President Donald Trump’s controversial start, it’s no wonder friends and foes alike are already buzzing about his impact on the 2018 midterm elections. It’s still early in the cycle, but not too early to look at what various indicators say about the two parties’ prospects. Presidential job approval and […] Read more »

Congress Approval Remains at 16% in September

As Congress continues to come under fire for seeming inaction on hot-button issues like repeal of the Affordable Care Act, congressional approval remained subdued in September, at 16%. The last time Congress approval was lower was in July 2016, at 13%. CONT. Art Swift, Gallup Recent polls: Congress Read more »

Democrats Must Take a Shot at Texas

When Democrats are desperate, they dream of Texas. … Texas is a large and utterly elusive grail. A 2016 simulation incorporating demographic and political trends in the state concluded that Texas would not fall into the Democratic column anytime in the next four presidential elections. “The juggernaut there is whites […] Read more »

Trump’s Hardline Immigration Stance Got Him To The White House

President Trump’s decision to end the Obama administration’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program (better known as DACA) seems like a political loser. Polling shows that most Americans support the program, which protects undocumented immigrants who were brought to the United States as children from deportation, and don’t want participants […] Read more »