Voters say they prefer Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives over Republicans by the widest margin in over a decade, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll — a fresh sign of trouble for the GOP majority one year before the midterm elections. But Democrats’ effort to convert […] Read more »
Democratic advantage for ’18 might not be what it seems
A Democratic advantage in preference for the 2018 midterm elections fades to insignificance among the most likely voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, signs of the Democrats’ enduring challenges in turning out their voters in off-year contests. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Republicans’ tax overhaul pitch faces skeptical public, Post-ABC poll finds
Republican lawmakers face a skeptical public as they embark on selling a major tax overhaul plan with tepid support before its release and most Americans critical of President Trump’s tax restructuring efforts so far, a Washington Post-ABC News poll finds. A third of Americans support Trump’s tax plan, while 50 […] Read more »
When Should We Start Paying Attention to the Congressional Generic Ballot Test?
For years, the best tool to predict which party will gain House seats in any given election has been the so-called “generic ballot test.” The “generic” is a poll question that asks voters which party they’d support in the upcoming congressional election. While it can’t tell us exactly how many […] Read more »
60% of Americans say Trump tax plan will benefit wealthy
Americans oppose Donald Trump’s emerging tax plan by broad a 17-point margin, with 60 percent saying it favors the wealthy -– including six in 10 of the wealthy themselves. … Criticism of the plan goes hand-in-hand with negative views of Trump’s efforts to improve the federal tax system overall: 56 […] Read more »
Change versus more of the same: On-going panel of target voting groups provides path for Democrats in 2018
There are big forces at work in the coming year that could produce an earthquake of an off-year election, including a parade of indictments, the GOP civil war playing out in Republican primaries, a congressional impasse on everything, a wrong track number nearing 75 percent and a presidential job approval […] Read more »