The number of Democrats aiming to unseat Republican incumbents in the midterm elections is rewriting the record books. According to the Campaign Finance Institute, by last fall the Democrats were fielding about twice the number of challengers as Republicans managed in 2009, the height of the Tea Party insurgency. More […] Read more »
2018 Election: Where We Are Now
In the last six weeks, the Congressional Leadership Fund has commissioned surveys in 69 congressional districts. While the survey results do show a challenging environment for Republicans, there is a path forward for Republicans to be successful. CONT. Corry Bliss, Congressional Leadership Fund Read more »
What to Make of All These New and Often Conflicting Generic Ballot Polls?
If you are confused about what to make of the latest slew of polling data about control of Congress in 2018, you are not alone. On the so-called generic ballot question which asks voters if they’d support a Democrat or Republican for Congress in 2018, Democrats have either lost ground […] Read more »
Economic Issues Decline Among Public’s Policy Priorities
The public’s improving economic outlook is reflected in its policy agenda for President Trump and Congress in the coming year. Economic issues – improving the job situation, strengthening the economy and reducing the budget deficit – are viewed as less important policy priorities than they were just a few years […] Read more »
Mixed Signals: Analyzing Elections Since Trump Won the Presidency
This past Tuesday marked the 75th time a Democrat and a Republican faced off in a special election for a state or federal office since President Donald Trump won the 2016 election. The result in District 35 of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives, a solidly Democratic seat in the Pittsburgh […] Read more »
2018 at a breaking point? Not yet.
Over the last three months, Democrats have doubled their margin in the generic congressional ballot to an 11-point advantage among registered voters and an 8-point lead among likely voters nationally. That is near the 9-point margin Democrats won in 2006 when they flipped 30 congressional seats and retook the majority, […] Read more »