As the midterm election cycle picks up steam, American voters continue to harbor adverse feelings toward President Trump, a continually robust force for division and polarization. Voters continue to hold mixed feelings about the economy, and amidst a 24-hour news cycle defined by scandals, uniquely discordant partisan policy battles, and […] Read more »
Down but Not Out: A Case for GOP Optimism about the 2018 Elections
The unique characteristics of the Trump candidacy and his continuing unique style of leadership have led us and other pollsters to reflect on our methods of measuring public opinion. We are continuing to experiment with different ways to measure voter attitudes about President Trump, and several of these new methods […] Read more »
Somebody should tell Democrats they’ve become the free trade party
Nothing better illustrates the Democratic Party’s inability to adapt to the changing nature of its political coalition than the party’s paralysis in the fierce debate over President Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariffs on imported steel and aluminum. While the tariffs Trump announced last week have ignited fierce blowback from a […] Read more »
Public splits on whether things would be better or worse with Democratic Congress
Americans are split over whether things would be better or worse with the Democrats in control of Congress. Most Democrats (67 percent) think things would be better, but independents don’t agree. Only 28 percent of independents think things would be better. Three in four Republicans (most of whom are satisfied […] Read more »
FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast: The Most Special Special Election Yet
The special election on Tuesday in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, in the western part of the state, will put Republicans to the test in a part of the country that President Trump has made central to his message. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew discusses the candidates, expectations and political environment […] Read more »
Everything You Need To Know About The Pennsylvania 18th Special Election
March came in like a lion; will it go out with a Lamb? Voters in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District will decide that on Tuesday as they vote in the first of many federal elections in 2018. Like in previous races for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District and Alabama’s U.S. Senate seat, […] Read more »