An advantage in intensity — against President Donald Trump and for voting in November — is fueling Democrats ahead of the midterm elections that take place more than six months from now, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
The next House speaker should prepare to be unpopular. Just ask Paul Ryan.
We don’t yet know who will replace retiring Paul Ryan as House speaker or when. What we can say, though, is that whoever wants the job should be prepared to see his or her popularity tank. The American public has a tendency to turn on whomever is elected to the […] Read more »
Three Turnout Wild Cards: Guns, Impeachment, and SCOTUS
It seems like almost every week things get worse for Republicans. The 2018 Senate map is the most lopsided map in modern history, but even with Democrats having far more at-risk seats than Republicans, it’s hard to find good news for the GOP. … So what could turn this around? […] Read more »
NBC News poll: The South, once a conservative bastion, is changing
The South is often viewed as a conservative monolith, but the region’s political views are more nuanced — and moderate — than many might expect, according to new NBC News | SurveyMonkey polls. CONT. Alex Seitz-Wald, NBC News Read more »
Paul Ryan’s retirement further signals that the GOP’s House majority is in extreme danger
House Speaker Paul Ryan’s announcement Wednesday that he will not seek re-election is the latest sign that the Republican House majority is in trouble. The writing has been on the wall for a while now. President Donald Trump’s low approval rating, Republicans’ poor standing on the generic congressional ballot and […] Read more »
How Retirements Like Paul Ryan’s Are Shrinking Republicans’ Built-In Advantage in the House
Alone, no single retirement can do much to shift the national race for House control. But after a year full of them, it seems Republicans can’t afford too many more. Each new departure, including the retirement of House Speaker Paul Ryan, narrows the Republican path to retain the House. … […] Read more »