As we get closer to November, I gain confidence that an electoral “wave” will develop the likes of 1946, 1994, 2006 and 2010. Unlike the elections in those years, however, I’m not sure a wave will necessarily mean the minority party will wrestle away control of the House. How is […] Read more »
Americans like Trump on the economy. They dislike Trump for being Trump.
… A new Fox News poll yields an approval chart that will look familiar. The overall approval number for Trump is at 45 percent, according to Fox, about where it has been since January. … After that question, though, Fox did something interesting: They asked people to say why they […] Read more »
House Ratings Changes: Democrats Breathe a California-Sized Sigh of Relief
Democrats have to be happy and relieved by the results of Tuesday’s primaries: they appear to have avoided getting “locked out” of California’s top-two primaries, advancing candidates to the November ballot in all of the seven GOP seats they’re targeting (although in several districts, they didn’t avert catastrophe by much). […] Read more »
How to Define a Wave
… So, what is a ‘wave’ election? And, how will we know if we are in one — or even in November, that we actually had one? To be clear, anything other than flipping control of the House this fall will be a disaster for Democrats. Even if they win […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Democrats gain in congressional vote test
With five months until Election Day, Democrats hold the enthusiasm advantage — and that puts them ahead of Republicans in the congressional vote as well. A Fox News poll released Thursday finds 48 percent of voters favor the Democratic candidate in their congressional district and 39 percent the Republican. That […] Read more »
More Americans are crediting Trump with the stronger economy, but that isn’t helping the GOP with voters: NBC/WSJ poll
Rising satisfaction with the American economy has lifted President Donald Trump, but not the Republican campaign to hold Congress in fall midterm elections. That’s the message of the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, which measures how sustained economic strength affects the president and his party. The impacts are markedly […] Read more »