Fifty-six percent of U.S. adults are currently “absolutely certain” they will vote in the November elections for Congress. That’s on the low side in Gallup’s trend of final pre-election midterm polls since 1954 and is similar to the 58% recorded just before the 2014 midterms, which had the lowest turnout […] Read more »
Separated immigrant children move people’s hearts, but will it move their votes?
… In the latest CNN poll, 67% of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s administration’s policy that resulted in a “significant increase in the number of young children who have been separated from their parents at the border and placed in government facilities.” The policy’s unpopularity surely played a role […] Read more »
Good News for Republicans, It’s Not 2006
For much of 2017 and early 2018, GOP consultants of a certain age would tell us that this election had the same look, feel and smell of 2006; the last time Republicans had a terrible midterm election. The President was unpopular, the Democrats were motivated and GOP members were retiring […] Read more »
Back to the Future With Party ID
It’s morning again in America. You grab your first cup of coffee, click to your favorite news site and are greeted by a new poll with a huge generic ballot spike in the congressional vote. What should your reaction be? Is it time to freak out, or calm down and […] Read more »
The Wrong Fight at the Wrong Time for the GOP
You need to hand it to President Donald Trump, his entire administration and his party. It takes more than a little chutzpah to act in a way that seems callous to the concerns of children. … If reports are correct that Trump thought the “zero tolerance” policy would help him […] Read more »
The GOP’s ‘Utterly Dysfunctional’ Strategy of Babying Its Base
With his policy of systematically separating children from their parents at the U.S.-Mexico border, Donald Trump finally extended his racially infused economic nationalism to a point that a critical mass of elected Republicans could not follow. … With several polls this week showing that roughly two-thirds of Americans oppose Trump’s […] Read more »