Will Democratic gains in the November midterm elections be squandered by an inopportune bout of party infighting? … Political commentators often suggest that national parties maximize their electoral effectiveness when they push a single policy program or message. But the Democratic Party is organized as a coalition of social groups […] Read more »
Nearly Two-Thirds of Americans Want Roe v. Wade to Stand
As the U.S. Senate prepares to hold confirmation hearings for Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, the public is strongly opposed to any attempts to overturn Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 ruling that made abortion legal nationwide. Currently, 64% of Americans believe Roe v. Wade should stand, while 28% would […] Read more »
Brett Kavanaugh and the Midterm Effect
The selection of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court will have less of an impact on November’s midterms than you think. Sure, depending how the confirmation process develops, it’s possible the nomination could affect a handful of races, but the most likely scenario will not change the overall trajectory of […] Read more »
What’s wanted in a Supreme Court justice
… In a survey we conducted for the Constitutional Accountability Center last year, just 33 percent agreed with the proposition that “When the president nominates a justice to the Supreme Court, it should only take the votes of 51 of the 100 senators to confirm the nominee and make them […] Read more »
Democrats Risk Overreach on Immigration
… Does Trump doubling-down to placate his base mean that it is good policy or politics for the Left to do the same? The “Abolish ICE” rhetoric to protest Trump policies brings to mind another old saying, often attributed to the Rolling Stones’s Mick Jagger as well as to Navy […] Read more »
How to Interpret 2018 Polls Without Fooling Yourself
This morning, many political junkies, bleary-eyed from staying up to watch and then ponder the president’s SCOTUS Reality Show last night, were greeted with this tweet from the CEO of Axios: 🚨 Brutal poll: Democrats’ Senate dream slips away https://t.co/bXZ4wiwqn5 — Jim VandeHei (@JimVandeHei) July 10, 2018 The full Axios […] Read more »