This week we learned that Donald Trump’s campaign chairman is going to jail, and his one-time attorney and ‘fixer’ admitted that the president directed him to pay hush money to two mistresses in a scheme that violates campaign law. You’d think that Democrats would be spiking the football. Or, gloating […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Voters split 45-46 percent on confirming Kavanaugh to high court
Voters are increasingly divided over the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court since President Trump announced him as his choice to replace retiring Justice Anthony Kennedy. Forty-five percent would confirm Kavanaugh, while 46 percent oppose him, according to the latest Fox News poll. … Opinion of the GOP […] Read more »
Pennsylvanians give low marks to Trump and tariffs
Pennsylvania, a state that helped put President Donald Trump in the White House, isn’t too keen on the president’s tariff push, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds, as a near majority fears that the ongoing trade war will ultimately damage the U.S. economy. … Trump’s job approval rating among adults […] Read more »
A new poll shows 5 big challenges facing the Republicans in November
With the midterm election less than three months away, there is considerable agreement among forecasters on the Democrats’ chances of regaining a House majority: 73 percent (538), 70 percent (The Economist), 67 percent (PredictIt), 67 percent (Good Judgment) and 64 percent (Predictwise). Now, a new GW Politics Poll provides a […] Read more »
House Update: 12 Ratings Changes
Tuesday’s bombshell developments — the conviction of President Trump’s former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, followed in swift succession by a guilty plea from the president’s former lawyer, Michael Cohen, that seemed to implicate the president in a scheme to skirt campaign finance laws — may very well not move the […] Read more »
Exploring the Incumbency Advantage
It may be the oldest assumption in politics: Incumbents hold an advantage, and the longer they are there, the more powerful they are. It makes inherent sense: The voters know incumbents better, incumbents can wield more power to bring home the bacon, and incumbents are able to raise more cash. […] Read more »