The 116th Congress hasn’t even been sworn in yet, and there’s still no resolution in sight to one North Carolina race tainted by election fraud. But already, the 2020 battle for the House is shaping up to be highly competitive. The race for the White House is set to overshadow […] Read more »
White Voters Without A Degree Remained Staunchly Republican In 2018
… In 2016, educational divides emerged as one of the top explanations of voters’ choices: White voters without a bachelor’s degree made up the Republican base, while a coalition of nonwhite voters and white college graduates formed the Democratic base. The 2018 midterms seemed to continue what we saw in […] Read more »
The foundation of Trump’s coalition is cracking
Cracks have emerged in Donald Trump’s hold on his core constituency of white working class voters, new data from the 2018 election reveal. Though Republican candidates almost everywhere registered large margins among white voters without a college degree, Democrats ran much more competitively among the roughly half of that group […] Read more »
Unique web-panel shows how Rising American Electorate really delivered in 2018
Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women decided early to oppose what was happening in the country, but some decided in the Fall and as late as the final week to vote and […] Read more »
Behind G.O.P. Power Play in Midwest: Fear of Losing a Gerrymandered Advantage
… The ongoing legislative maneuvers in Michigan and Wisconsin are part of a broader war for power in the Midwest, a politically prized region for both parties — but especially for Republicans, who are trying to dilute Democratic control ahead of bigger battles. The G.O.P., which lost the House in […] Read more »
‘Siege warfare’: Republican anxiety spikes as Trump faces growing legal and political perils
A growing number of Republicans fear that a battery of new revelations in the far-reaching Russia investigation has dramatically heightened the legal and political danger to Donald Trump’s presidency — and threatens to consume the rest of the party, as well. … The White House is adopting what one official […] Read more »