From suggesting on his first day as a presidential candidate back in 2015 that Mexico was intentionally sending “rapists” to America to calling last week for several liberal congresswomen of color to “go back” to their countries, President Trump has repeatedly used racial and at times racist language over the […] Read more »
How social media increases the reach of Trump’s racially coded attacks to activate racial prejudice
… Despite the popular conversation about whether President’s Trump’s comments are racist, in recent research, I along with co-author (Adam Enders), maintain that a statement or policy need not make explicit mention of race to be racist. In fact, it is the use of racially coded language, like “go back […] Read more »
The 2020 Congressional Elections: A Very Early Forecast
… In order to assess the outlook for the 2020 House and Senate elections, I used a forecasting model that provides fairly accurate predictions of seat swing based on four factors: the number of seats currently held by the president’s party, the president’s net approval rating in late August or […] Read more »
Democrats are now left with one option to end Trump’s presidency: The 2020 election
Many Democrats long have considered Robert S. Mueller III a potential savior, as the agent of President Trump’s eventual undoing. Wednesday’s hearings on Capitol Hill probably shattered those illusions once and for all. … Regardless of the evidence of obstruction contained in Mueller’s report, impeachment is a fraught strategy for […] Read more »
Mueller Talks
After months of back-and-forth with Democrats, former special counsel Robert Mueller testified before the U.S. House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Sarah Frostenson and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join Galen Druke to discuss the most relevant moments from the hearings — and whether […] Read more »
The Mueller hearing and the death of facts
Lee McIntyre, Boston University Listening to former special counsel Robert Mueller’s testimony on June 24, the nation heard a duel over the facts. Not what the facts imply, not our response to them, but what the facts are. Founding Father John Adams once said, “Facts are stubborn things; and whatever […] Read more »