… While the 2020 election is still more than a year off, Republicans ought to be concerned about some early signs, both at the national and state levels. Trump carried self-described independents in 2016, 46 percent to 42 percent, according to that year’s national exit polls, but the GOP lost […] Read more »
Who’s sticking with President Trump, through trouble and tweets? His seemingly unshakable base.
Even as support for his impeachment grows, President Donald Trump continues to be backed by a seemingly unshakable core of supporters who deny he has done anything wrong and agree he is the target of a political “lynching,” a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds. CONT. Susan Page, Savannah Behrmann […] Read more »
What Should Senate Republicans Do About Impeachment?
What is the savviest political strategy on impeachment for Republicans in the Senate? In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew tries to answer that question in a new edition of FiveThirtyEight Debate. Each member of the team was assigned a position and then tried to poke holes […] Read more »
Impeachment isn’t popular in Wisconsin and these 5 other key swing states
… A look at the national polls indicate that impeaching and removing Trump from office is at, a minimum, a plurality position. Our CNN/SSRS poll out this week showed that 51% of voters nationwide support impeaching and removing from office compared to 44% who disagreed. The average has the split […] Read more »
Can anything move public opinion on impeachment and removal?
This week the legal and constitutional momentum for Donald Trump’s impeachment accelerated while the political momentum stalled. … In early October, most polls showed an increase in support for impeaching and removing the president. But those same polls show that most of the movement for impeachment and removal occurred among […] Read more »
This Week in Impeachment: Republicans Want to Make Impeachment About Schiff, Not Trump
As it enters its second month, the impeachment inquiry is starting to strain the internal cohesion of the Republican Party. Damaging revelations about the Ukraine affair continued to trickle out this week from media reports and the House investigation, making congressional Republicans increasingly reluctant to defend the president’s behavior on […] Read more »