We live in a political era of incredible volatility and mind-numbing predictability. For only the third time in American history, a president is about to be impeached. Even so, Americans aren’t particularly captivated by a story in which they already know the ending. … As such, the fact that Trump […] Read more »
Impeachment rhetoric reaches its natural conclusion: It’s just those urban, coastal elites
There’s a neat little trick at the heart of one of the most common criticisms of the House impeachment inquiry. That criticism offers that the push to investigate President Trump’s interactions with Ukraine is tainted by partisanship, a function of hyperactive Democrats seeking to oust a president they hate. … […] Read more »
The Impact of Increased Political Polarization
As I write this, the House Intelligence Committee has voted to adopt the committee’s Impeachment Inquiry Report along strict party lines. All 13 Democrats on the committee voted “Yes”; all nine Republican committee members voted “No.” This party-line split is neither unusual nor unpredictable, but reflects the deep partisanship that […] Read more »
Mocked Abroad and Assailed at Home, Trump Returns to Face Impeachment
When times turn tough, presidents can hop on Air Force One to escape the country for a while and stride purposefully across the world stage. But the world stage was not so friendly this week for President Trump, who landed back in Washington on Wednesday night to confront a grim […] Read more »
Legal Experts — And Americans — Weigh In On Impeachment
The impeachment inquiry on Wednesday moved to the House Judiciary Committee, with legal experts giving testimony about whether President Trump committed an impeachable offense. We review that testimony in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. We also speak with Clifford Young of Ipsos about the latest results of the […] Read more »
The Impeachment Hearings Just Confirmed Voters’ Preexisting Opinions
The first phase of the impeachment process is over, and according to our impeachment tracker, public opinion on impeaching and removing President Trump has remained largely steady through most of November, with roughly 47 percent of Americans supporting impeachment and 44 percent opposed. And in our latest survey with Ipsos, […] Read more »