This is a turning point in the 2020 campaign. Vice President Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the battleground by a healthy margin of 4 points, and 5 in a two-way contest. This is a battleground that Donald Trump painfully won by 1.3 points in 2016, but Senator Bernie Sanders […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Recession fears mount as coronavirus jolts US economy
… Approval of Trump’s overall job performance is up one point since February to 48 percent, while 51 percent disapprove. … When asked specifically about responses to the coronavirus outbreak, 51 percent of voters approve of Trump and 46 percent disapprove. The federal government overall (55-41) and Vice President Mike […] Read more »
Coronavirus Response: Hospitals Rated Best, News Media Worst
Americans are generally positive in their evaluations of how each of nine leaders and institutions has handled the response to the coronavirus situation. Eight of the nine receive majority positive ratings — led by U.S. hospitals, at 88% approval. Only the news media gets a more negative than positive review. […] Read more »
How COVID-19 Is — And Isn’t — Changing Politics
According to the latest polling, the spread of COVID-19 has disrupted the daily lives of the vast majority of Americans. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how that broad effect has — and has not — changed partisan politics. They also ask how the pandemic […] Read more »
Rising Stakes And Electability: Presidential And Senate Battleground Poll
As the stakes in the US elections rise through each day of the pandemic, the country is sending a very clear signal about the Democratic nominee and electability. Democracy Corps conducted a 1,000-sample mostly cell-phone survey and a 2,900-sample web panel survey on behalf of the non-profit and non-partisan Center […] Read more »
Pandemic and Stock Market Losses Haven’t Dented Trump’s Numbers … Yet
The thoughts and concerns of most people these days are focused on their families, friends, neighbors, and colleagues. Zooming out, they’re also concerned about the impact the coronavirus pandemic will have on the economy, their job, and their place of businesses. But for those in the political business—or addicted to […] Read more »