Impending SCOTUS Fight Could Split the Trump Coalition

In the hours since Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s passing, several analysts have speculated the new, colossal Supreme Court fight will help President Trump by rallying traditional GOP voters behind him and shifting the focus of 2020 from the mismanagement of COVID-19 to a more straightforward partisan cage match. That’s possible, […] Read more »

Ginsburg’s Death Further Polarizes Voters Just Weeks Before Election

The death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg adds a volatile and unexpected element to a presidential campaign that for months had focused on President Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Instead of an election overwhelmingly seen as a referendum on Mr. Trump and his handling of the virus, interviews with […] Read more »

Court Vacancy Injects New Uncertainty Into Rancorous Election Battle

The death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has put enormous new pressure on the two candidates in a presidential race already roiled by a global pandemic and a summer of civil unrest, raising the prospect of a contentious Senate confirmation battle waged side by side with the campaign. The skirmishing […] Read more »

Voters split on confirming a new Supreme Court justice before Inauguration Day

… A YouGov snap poll of 1,200 registered voters conducted Saturday indicates that about half of registered voters (51%) do not believe President Trump should appoint a new Supreme Court justice before the presidential inauguration in January 2021. If President Trump does appoint someone—as he has indicated he will—voters are […] Read more »

How A Supreme Court Vacancy Will Shape The Election

In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s passing and how the political fight around the new vacancy on the court might unfold. FiveThirtyEight The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s […] Read more »