Since Election Day, there’s been heated debate over whether the results underscored our country’s rampant tribalism, or efforts to win over persuadable voters in the middle actually worked. The short answer is both. President-elect Joe Biden outperformed Hillary Clinton by a small but critical margin in key battleground states, improving […] Read more »
With Trench Warfare Deepening, Parties Face Unsettled Electoral Map
… With 306 Electoral College votes and the most popular votes of any presidential candidate in history, Mr. Biden attained a victory that was paramount to many Democrats, who saw a second Trump term as nothing less than a threat to democracy. Yet on the electoral landscape, both parties find […] Read more »
Biden changed the electoral map, but can Democrats capitalize in the future?
The final projections for the 2020 election brought with them a new electoral map, one that highlights the changing shape of America and the divisions that now define the Democratic and Republican parties in the Trump era. … One major question is whether, without Trump on the ballot in the […] Read more »
How Republicans pulled off a big upset and nearly took back the House
There seemed to be one safe bet when it came to the 2020 election results: Democrats would easily hold on to their majority in the House of Representatives. Not only that, but the conventional wisdom held that Democrats would pick up more than the 235 seats they won in the […] Read more »
Next Stop: Georgia
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the composition of the U.S. government literally hangs in the balance with two U.S. Senate race runoffs in Georgia serving as arbiters. As time elapses from Election Day to January, what are the challenges for both parties? Then, Pfizer’s announcement of a potentially […] Read more »
Why Couldn’t Democrats Ride the Blue Wave?
… So, what happened to the Democratic wave, if there ever was one? It is difficult for me to fathom that so many polls, conducted by dozens of pollsters from both parties using different methodologies, could all be wrong, and in the same direction. In my judgment, there was a […] Read more »