The fight for the Senate: A pinkie on the scale for Democrats?

Last September, I wrote in this space that small developments had given Democrats “some reason for optimism about next year’s fight for the Senate.” But I also noted the party would “need an upset or two to win control of the chamber next November.” More than seven months later, circumstances […] Read more »

Late support lifts Biden; Sanders keeps his base: Takeaways from Super Tuesday exit polls

A surge of late support lifted former Vice President Joe Biden on Super Tuesday, extending his candidacy beyond his southern strongholds as moderates coalesced behind his electability argument. Yet Sen. Bernie Sanders held broad support among issue voters, independents, Hispanics and the young, defining the battleground ahead. Across the 12 […] Read more »

AP VoteCast: Late deciders aid Biden, young loyal to Sanders

Joe Biden’s surprise victories on Super Tuesday were powered by Democratic voters who broke his way just days before casting their ballots — a wave of late momentum that scrambled the race in a matter of hours. … Here’s a snapshot of Democratic voters in Alabama, California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, […] Read more »

Bernie Sanders’ hidden Super Tuesday edge

Bernie Sanders could receive a big boost today from a powerful demographic dynamic, even as more party leaders consolidate to resist his candidacy. The groups that have most favored the senator from Vermont in the Democratic presidential race are much more widely distributed than the groups that have resisted him […] Read more »

Data show how to win Super Tuesday without winning a state

Super Tuesday is about more than just winning delegates, the complex mix of 14 states in play this week offers a look at how different important voting blocs feel about the Democratic field as the primary calendar picks up momentum. With that in mind, using demographics and economics as a […] Read more »