Jeb Bush is the clear Republican presidential frontrunner, surging to the front of the potential GOP pack following his announcement that he’s “actively exploring” a bid, a new CNN/ORC poll found. … Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is still far and away the favorite to take the Democratic nomination […] Read more »
Christie Roams, and Popularity Suffers at Home
When the Chris Christie-for-president chatter first started, in 2011, voters in his home state of New Jersey took pride in having a celebrity governor. … Voters told pollsters the national attention made him more effective, and improved their state’s long-maligned image. Four years later, with Governor Christie again considering a […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton the Early 2016 Frontrunner, But Barely
Call Hillary Clinton the early presidential frontrunner – but barely. That’s the result from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, which finds that half of American voters – 50 percent – saying they could see themselves supporting her if she runs for the White House in 2016, while 48 […] Read more »
The Clinton-Warren Binary
… Despite all the talk about a “yearning” for a more liberal candidate from the Democratic base, we see no evidence – at least at this point – that liberals are unhappy with Hillary Clinton. She scored an 88 percent favorable rating among “solid liberals” in Pew’s Typology Poll. Compare […] Read more »
Republicans Sure Love to Hate Unions
A paradox of American politics is that Republicans take organized labor more seriously than Democrats do. The right sees unions as a mainstay of the left, a crucial source of cash, campaign manpower and votes. … The economic forces working against unions, especially private sector unions – globalization, the shift […] Read more »
A Test of Presidential Timber
Four potential Republican candidates for president ran into a nasty case of mode effects Tuesday. The results, for them, were not pretty. The term “mode effects” refers to differing results when surveys are done different ways. In this case it’s the difference between a printed ballot – Tuesday’s national exit […] Read more »