Post-mortem analysis of the 2016 election found that a failure to adjust for overrepresentation of college graduates was among the reasons many state-level polls underestimated support for Donald Trump. Voters who graduated from a four-year college are more likely to answer surveys than other adults and, in recent years, they […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Let the Games Begin!
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 11 points nationally among registered voters. What does Trump need to do to close the gap? Is his base of support still strong? And, how do the candidates fare on the issues driving the contest? CONT. Marist […] Read more »
Just How Far Will Trump Go?
President Donald Trump’s open admission yesterday that he’s sabotaging the Postal Service to improve his election prospects crystallizes a much larger dynamic: He’s waging an unprecedented campaign to weaponize virtually every component of the federal government to partisan advantage. Trump is systematically enlisting agencies, including the Postal Service, Census Bureau, […] Read more »
Census, Cut Short A Month, Rushes To Finish All Counting Efforts By Sept. 30
The Census Bureau is ending all counting efforts for the 2020 census on Sept. 30, a month shorter than previously announced, the bureau’s director confirmed Monday in a statement. That includes critical door-knocking efforts and collecting responses online, over the phone and by mail. … Democrats in Congress and many […] Read more »
Excluding Undocumented Immigrants from the 2020 U.S. House Apportionment
Key Points• President Trump recently indicated that he wants the 2020 census reapportionment of House seats to exclude undocumented immigrants from the calculation.• If undocumented immigrants are excluded, the 2020 reapportionment calculation will change, including changing the number of House seats allocated to the two largest states, California and Texas.• […] Read more »
Four-in-ten who haven’t yet filled out U.S. census say they wouldn’t answer the door for a census worker
As 2020 census workers begin knocking on the doors of millions of U.S. households that have not returned their census questionnaires, four-in-ten U.S. adults who have not yet responded say they would not be willing to answer their door, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. CONT. D’Vera Cohn, […] Read more »