The candidates in the top 1% have accounted for about 78% of the ad spending in the presidential race so far, according to new numbers. The two self-funding billionaires in the Democratic primary, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg and activist business executive Tom Steyer, have spent the most […] Read more »
And Then There Were Five…
In our first episode of 2020, we preview the seventh Democratic primary debate. Plus, we discuss the role endorsements and fundraising play in predicting the ultimate primary winner, and how the developing situation in Iran might influence the 2020 race. The Forecast Fest Read more »
It’s not just the polls that show Biden and Sanders leading the primary
We have less than a month until the primary season, and it’s becoming more apparent that former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont are the candidates to beat. It’s not just that they are Nos. 1 and 2 in the national polling. It’s that each holds […] Read more »
With A Month To Go Before Iowa And New Hampshire, Anything Can Happen
Democrats all want one thing: to beat Donald Trump. The problem is, they can’t agree on who’s best to do that. … So what’s the state of play a month out? How predictive are Iowa and New Hampshire for who becomes the Democratic nominee? And should we even pay attention […] Read more »
Big Money and America’s Lost Decade
… The first thing you need to know about the very rich is that they are, politically, different from you and me. Don’t be fooled by the handful of prominent liberal or liberal-ish billionaires; systematic studies of the politics of the ultrawealthy show that they are very conservative, obsessed with […] Read more »
‘I don’t buy that you can win a presidential nomination’ on ads alone
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at whether expensive ad campaigns will be enough for candidates like Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg to win in 2020. This Week, ABC News Read more »