… More than three years after Trump launched his presidential campaign by railing against Mexican “rapists” streaming over the border, Democratic hopes and Republican fears that the growing population of Latinos would give Democrats a permanent advantage have yet to materialize. Nationally, Latino voters favor a Democratic Congress over a […] Read more »
California: Democrats well positioned to capture a number of GOP-held congressional seats
A new Berkeley IGS Poll of over 5,000 likely voters in eight congressional districts in California finds Democratic candidates well positioned to capture a number of GOP-held seats considered by neutral observers to begin play in this year’s congressional elections. According to the poll, the Democrats hold a significant lead […] Read more »
Republicans face big risks in contested California races as Democrats fight for control of the House
Republicans are at risk of a wipeout in California’s six most hotly contested congressional races, a new poll shows — a result that could radically reshape the state’s political map, with major consequences nationally. But the poll, conducted for the Los Angeles Times by UC Berkeley’s Institute for Governmental Studies, also […] Read more »
A Republican stronghold has become ground zero in 2018
… After years of neglect, Democrats are mounting their most serious effort in memory to crack Orange County, a vast (3.2 million population) and sprawling suburban county southwest of Los Angeles. Once a symbol of unbending conservatism and white racial backlash, Orange County has grown more competitive in presidential elections […] Read more »
California Dream Far from Real: Nearly One-Third of Californians Working, yet Struggling with Poverty
A new survey released today by PRRI finds almost one-third (31 percent) of Californians are in the workforce and yet are still struggling with poverty. The survey maps how this group struggles to cover basic housing and healthcare expenses, and how these individuals are more likely than workers who are […] Read more »
The Blue Shift Comes to the California Primary
Ned Foley alerted the world to the “blue shift” that has begun to characterize the trends in vote totals after the initial tranche of results are released on election night. The blue shift is the tendency for presidential vote results to trend in a Democratic direction as the count proceeds […] Read more »