New Poll: Nation’s Most Competitive Races May Hinge on Trump’s Racism

Today, the NAACP released results from a new poll, conducted for the NAACP by the African American Research Collaborative and Latino Decisions, pulling data from voters in 61 of the nation’s most competitive midterm races. The poll analyzed views of African American, White, Latino, Asian American, and Native American voters […] Read more »

Obama and Trump both bent demographic trends to win. Can Trump repeat in 2020?

The past three presidential elections have been head-snapping for many Americans: a sharp turn into what many people believed was the future of electoral politics with the elections of Barack Obama and an even sharper reversal with the victory of Donald Trump. People are still making sense of it all. […] Read more »

Cynthia Nixon, like Bernie Sanders before her, has a problem with black Democrats

… A Quinnipiac poll of New York’s upcoming Democratic gubernatorial primary has Gov. Andrew Cuomo leading Cynthia Nixon 59% to 23%. … Cuomo’s large lead is emblematic of two important trends in the Democratic Party. The first, and perhaps most obvious, is that progressives look likely to fail in their […] Read more »

Republicans and Democrats increasingly really do occupy different worlds

… Is the fundamental fissure in American life now demographic or geographic? The answer, a growing body of evidence suggests, is both. And that may point to a future of even greater distance — and antagonism — between a Democratic coalition centered in racially diverse, largely secular, and post-industrial metropolitan […] Read more »