The Activation of Prejudice and Presidential Voting

As a candidate for President, Donald Trump defied recent norms for presidential candidates with several racially charged statements. Did that rhetoric—and the 2016 campaign more generally—affect voters’ support for Trump in his general-election contest with Hillary Clinton? Given prior research on prejudice and priming, a few research questions loom especially […] Read more »

How to Beat Trump at His Own Game

“Democrat Savages,” President Trump recently tweeted, are driving the impeachment against him. When he then named in particular two Jewish congressmen and four congresswomen of color — Jerry Nadler of New York, Adam Schiff of California and the quartet that includes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York — the racist connotations […] Read more »

How ‘White Guilt’ in the Age of Trump Shapes the Democratic Primary

… For years, prospective Democratic nominees came to Iowa to talk ethanol and pork subsidies and saved any rhetoric about the injustice of racial profiling for crowds in South Carolina and Nevada — the only early voting states where black and Latino voters made up a significant portion of the […] Read more »

The Obama effect has helped Joe Biden with black voters. Will it last?

Fairly or unfairly, Joe Biden has been taking some heat over the fact that, while he was vice president, his son Hunter held a $50,000-a-month board position at Burisma, a Ukrainian gas firm. Democratic leaders are nervous about how his campaign for the 2020 Democratic nomination has been responding. Meanwhile, […] Read more »

Is Ukraine Getting Worse For Trump?

It’s now been almost two weeks since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced an impeachment inquiry. In the past week, the House began taking testimony, at least one more whistleblower came forward, and FiveThirtyEight launched our impeachment polling tracker. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a […] Read more »