Data show how to win Super Tuesday without winning a state

Super Tuesday is about more than just winning delegates, the complex mix of 14 states in play this week offers a look at how different important voting blocs feel about the Democratic field as the primary calendar picks up momentum. With that in mind, using demographics and economics as a […] Read more »

Black voters, older voters and moderates fuel Joe Biden’s victory in South Carolina, exit polls show

Joe Biden surged to victory in South Carolina’s Democratic presidential primary with a base rooted in black voters, those over the age of 65 and moderates. The former vice president won around 3 in 5 black voters, dominating over his closest competitor, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, according to results from […] Read more »

Is the African American vote about to fracture or unify?

African Americans have long had a reputation for voting together, serving as a firewall for Democrats in general elections and collectively crowning the eventual nominee in Democratic presidential primaries. But that reputation is a product of party politics and a primary process that gives black voters little say until a […] Read more »

Can Democrats diminish the bigotry that Donald Trump has unleashed in this country?

Stung by the success of Trump’s anti-immigrant, racist campaign themes in 2016, left-of-center advocacy groups — think tanks, unions, progressive academics and Democratic consultants — are developing tools this year to counter the continuing Republican assault on liberal values, based on the optimistic assumption that the reservoir of white animosity […] Read more »

Biden lost his ‘electable’ claim. That’s why black votes are up for grabs again.

… The lesson to take from what we know about why black voting is steadfastly Democratic in general elections, and to apply to the primaries, is that candidates seeking to consolidate bloc-like support from black voters have a twofold job. First, without party identification as a shortcut for political decision-making, […] Read more »