You’ve heard it over and over again from political analysts like me: Sen. Bernie Sanders has a problem with minority voters that will likely prevent him from winning the Democratic presidential nomination if he doesn’t fix it. … The good news for Sanders is that Tuesday’s Democratic debate, the first […] Read more »
Poll Trouble: Hillary Clinton’s Three Challenges
Going into the 2016 campaign, Hillary Clinton appeared to have a clear path to the Democratic nomination and possibly the White House. But a summer of sliding poll numbers and questions about her personal email server have made for a more complicated road. Recent poll numbers reveal three potential general-election […] Read more »
Modern Immigration Wave Brings 59 Million to U.S., Driving Population Growth and Change Through 2065
Fifty years after passage of the landmark law that rewrote U.S. immigration policy, nearly 59 million immigrants have arrived in the United States, pushing the country’s foreign-born share to a near record 14%. For the past half-century, these modern-era immigrants and their descendants have accounted for just over half the […] Read more »
Twenty Years Out, Racial Gap Narrows on Simpson Verdict
Twenty years after a criminal court jury acquitted O.J. Simpson of killing his ex-wife and her friend, the racial gap on the verdict has narrowed: Three-quarters of Americans, for the first time including a majority of blacks, think he probably is guilty. CONT. Chad Kiewiet de Jonge, ABC News Read more »
Race Relations in the United States
Both white and African American residents nationally agree that race relations in the United States have deteriorated during the past year. But, the consensus ends there. This survey of Americans illustrates the contrast in opinions along racial lines about the opportunities available today for African Americans. CONT. PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll Read more »
Guess who used to be okay with the death penalty
A major impediment to political understanding is the attitude that whatever is happening now has always been so. One of our most important tasks as political scientists is not just to describe the world as it is, but to identify and understand change. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia), The Monkey Cage Read more »