The Democratic contest moved to a not-totally-white contest, and Hillary Clinton had her best showing yet. She won the Nevada caucuses by over 5 percentage points, with an electorate that was only 59 percent white. And while there are still some questions about how Latinos voted, Clinton can claim tremendous […] Read more »
Clinton Hangs on in Nevada
After very narrowly winning Iowa and losing New Hampshire in a blowout, Hillary Clinton has moved on to her “firewall” — the more diverse states that came after the lily-white leadoff contests. Clinton’s wall held in its first test in Nevada, but her modest margin of victory isn’t going to […] Read more »
New poll shows that black voters really aren’t ‘Feeling the Bern’
Bernie Sanders has had strong showings in Iowa and New Hampshire, but he is facing an important challenge: appealing to minority voters. … Our new research confirms what many Sanders supporters have feared: Black voters have substantially more favorable feelings about his opponent, Hillary Clinton. Our data are unusual: a […] Read more »
Democratic Candidates Face Different Kinds of Diversity in Nevada and South Carolina
After its start in two overwhelmingly white states, Iowa and New Hampshire, the presidential nominating contests move on to much more diverse territory in South Carolina and Nevada. The change is particularly important to Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. The racial and ethnic compositions of Democratic electorates changes from […] Read more »
Clinton Strong in South Carolina But Warning Signs Ahead, Bloomberg Poll Shows
Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead over Bernie Sanders in South Carolina thanks to a 3-to-1 advantage among African-American voters, according to a Bloomberg Politics poll that shows the Democrats’ fourth nominating contest still can be a Clinton firewall to blunt her rival’s momentum. But the survey also carries warning […] Read more »
Clinton, Sanders and the Underrated Power of the Black Voter
If you were asked to assess African-American voting power, you might think about the long history of disenfranchisement that still lingers today, in troubles in Ferguson, Mo.; in efforts to roll back the Voting Rights Act; or in recent moves to limit voting access around the country. So it can […] Read more »