Donald Trump’s political views, in the eyes of U.S. registered voters, are the least conservative of GOP presidential candidates in recent history. About six in 10 registered voters have viewed recent Republican nominees as conservative or very conservative, with George W. Bush’s 68% in 2004 the highest. CONT. Justin McCarthy, […] Read more »
Popular Presidents Factor Little in Non-Incumbent Elections
The Ronald Reagan presidency offers the most recent historical clues as to whether President Barack Obama’s popularity could affect voters’ choices for president in November. Like Obama, Reagan was earning job approval ratings in the low to mid-50s in the second half of his eighth year. And the Republican nominee […] Read more »
In the Long Run, Republicans Are Screwed
The current election will, mercifully, come to an end on November 8th. But its repercussions will be felt for a very long time, and, for the Republican party, they could be devastating. That’s the implication of new research, which describes “the emergence of a decisive Democratic advantage” among Americans who […] Read more »
Americans Don’t Trust Her. But Why?
A Clinton with a trust problem. We’ve seen that before. It was 1992, and doubts about Bill Clinton’s integrity, stoked by his marital infidelities and avoidance of the Vietnam War, were the biggest threat to his presidential campaign. Stanley Greenberg, a top Democratic campaign strategist, devised a secret plan to […] Read more »
Michelle Obama More Popular Than Bill Clinton, Melania Trump
While first lady Michelle Obama is not as popular as some of her predecessors, the American public views her far more favorably than either of the potential first spouses in the 2016 election. In contrast to Michelle Obama’s 64% favorable and 32% unfavorable scores, Americans are about as likely to […] Read more »
Can a rising Obama help Hillary Clinton?
President Barack Obama’s approval rating got its own convention bump, and now stands at its highest level since just before his second inauguration in 2013. Obama’s approval rating dipped to 50% after the Republican convention, but has risen to 54% in the wake of his party’s convention, with 45% disapproval, […] Read more »