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The Shutdown Lesson People Seem To Have Trouble Learning

… The idea that every shutdown has political “winners” and “losers” is an oversimplification; historically, the compromises that emerge from these standoffs have often allowed people on both sides to point at something that they could claim as at least a small victory. That said, the side that has consistently […] Read more »

Trump’s First State of the Union: How Will it Affect the State of Play?

Tomorrow night, President Trump will deliver his first State of the Union (SOTU) address to Congress and the American people. With Trump’s approval rating currently clocking in at 36% approve/59% disapprove according to Gallup, one might naturally assume that the SOTU offers the perfect opportunity for Trump to hit the […] Read more »

Gender Gap on Trump Approval Bigger Than Predecessors’

The gender gap in Donald Trump’s 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton was the largest in election polling history, with significantly more men than women supporting Trump. This sizable gender difference has carried over to his job approval rating throughout the first year of his presidency. The average difference in Trump’s […] Read more »

Trump’s First-Year Job Approval Worst by 10 Points

President Donald Trump’s job approval rating averaged 38.4% during his first year in office — slightly more than 10 percentage points lower than any other elected president’s first-year average. Bill Clinton is the only other president who was below 50% in his first year. All others were 57% or higher, […] Read more »

The Government Shutdown Effect: Big In The Short Term, Small After That

The U.S. government partially shutdown today. The Senate couldn’t cobble together the necessary 60 votes to keep the government open. And the blame game has already begun: Republicans in Congress and the White House are trying to make “Schumer Shutdown” stick (after Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer), and Democrats are […] Read more »