So many Democrats are running for president the race feels like a March Madness bracket. If it were, the No. 1 seeds would be former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. Either would be favored to beat President Donald Trump in the 2020 finals, according to the […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Harris climbs in the Democratic race, as enthusiasm starts high for both parties
An 8-point jump in support for California Sen. Kamala Harris stands out in a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS that shows a field of four in double digits in the race for the Democratic nomination for president. Former Vice President Joe Biden (28%) and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (20%) […] Read more »
N.C. voters favor Biden, Sanders over other 2020 presidential contenders
The field of Democratic and independent contenders for the presidency is becoming increasingly crowded as voters look ahead to the first presidential primary next year. At the same time, North Carolina is poised to retain its status as a battleground state, with Charlotte preparing to host the Republican National Convention […] Read more »
No 2020 Democrat Has a Monopoly on Younger Voters
Beto O’Rourke’s announcement Thursday that he’s seeking the presidency will compound a demographic mismatch that could powerfully shape the outcome of the 2020 Democratic race. … Even in a rapidly diversifying party, it’s virtually certain that most Democratic primary voters next year will be older than 45. Yet most of […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s And Bernie Sanders’s Support Isn’t Just About Name Recognition
If you’re a longtime reader of FiveThirtyEight, you’ll know that the early stage of the presidential primary process is a tricky one for us to cover. It’s tempting to put a lot of emphasis on shiny objects with numbers attached — polls, endorsement counts, fundraising totals — especially given our […] Read more »
The Biden Paradox, and How to Solve It
Joe Biden, apparently on the cusp of declaring his third run for the White House, is caught in a paradox that might be without precedent in modern American presidential politics. Nearly everyone thinks he can beat Donald Trump. At the same time, no one thinks he’ll get the chance to […] Read more »