In the past two weeks, there’s been a divergence in the Democratic presidential primary field. Former vice president Joe Biden has surged in recent polling while Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) has seen his support slacken. … Why? What is spurring Biden’s surge? One key factor appears to be the perception […] Read more »
Is Biden a weak 2020 frontrunner? Here’s what the polls tell us
How does Biden look at this point in the race compared to other early front-runners of the past? Steve Kornacki breaks it all down at the big board. MSNBC Recent polls: Democratic presidential preference Read more »
Biden Thinks Trump Is the Problem, Not All Republicans. Other Democrats Disagree.
As Joseph R. Biden Jr. made his way across Iowa on his first trip as a 2020 presidential candidate, the former vice president repeatedly returned to one term — aberration — when he referred to the Trump presidency. “Limit it to four years,” Mr. Biden pleaded with a ballroom crowd […] Read more »
2020 polls lay out an ominous pattern for Trump
It’s way too early to know who is going to win the 2020 presidential race. We don’t know who the Democratic nominee will be, and we don’t know what President Donald Trump’s approval rating will be. Still, we can look for patterns in the early polling to see what is […] Read more »
Biden Accelerates the Democratic Fight About the White Working Class
White working-class voters’ share of the electorate may be shrinking even faster now than in recent years, new data suggest. But that dynamic shows no signs of dampening the growing debate among Democrats about how heavily the party should focus on recapturing the blue-collar whites who have become the foundation […] Read more »
Assessing electability: Like nailing Jell-O to a wall
We’re not exactly sure when the awkward word “electability” really entered the national lexicon, but the concept — voters and party bigwigs making a pre-election assessment about who is likeliest to win — is surely as old as democracy itself. CONT. Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball Read more »