They praise his experience. They are hopeful about his general election prospects. He is often their first choice for president. For now. But while Joseph R. Biden Jr. tops the early polls in Iowa, on the ground there are signs that his lead is fragile in the state that kicks […] Read more »
California’s Democratic Presidential Primary Race A Wide Open Affair
Likely voters in California’s pivotal March 3, 2020 Democratic primary currently are dividing their preferences across five main presidential contenders. Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a slim four-point advantage at 22%, followed by Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren at 18%, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders (17%),California U.S. Senator Kamala Harris (13%) […] Read more »
Trump claims his polling is the ‘best’ despite internal polls showing otherwise
President Donald Trump on Wednesday said his campaign’s internal polling numbers are the “best” ever despite the Trump campaign’s internal polling showing the president behind former Vice President Joe Biden in key 2020 states. … “We have great internal polling, there were fake polls released by somebody that is — […] Read more »
Major changes in poll standings among Democrats: Six points to consider about the new Iowa poll
A new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, conducted among likely voters in next year’s Iowa Democratic Caucuses, finds Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders losing support, while Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg gain support. Among the other four of the top eight candidates, there is little change. … Given the number of […] Read more »
Decades of Iowa polling shows there’s no runaway Democratic favorite right now
So just how much is a poll lead for the Iowa caucuses really worth at this point? That’s the big question after the latest CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll was released this weekend. For those that weren’t deeply in the polling weeds, former Vice President Joe Biden led the field at […] Read more »
The 2020 Race: Still tilting Democratic
There has been plenty of attention recently on economic models that show President Donald Trump holding a huge advantage in the 2020 presidential contest. But it’s not that simple. … No matter how many economists, political scientists or investment bankers are involved, predictive models based solely on economic data miss […] Read more »